Toledo
W-L: ( 6- 2) PR = 83.3740Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 904 A Michigan St ( 2- 6, 85.0) 20- 30 912 H Central Connecticut 63- 10 919 H Temple ( 2- 6, 76.9) 49- 48 926 H San Diego St ( 4- 5, 78.1) 41- 16 1003 A Ball State ( 3- 5, 71.4) 39- 24 1010 H Buffalo ( 5- 3, 82.0) 8- 23 1017 A Ea. Michigan ( 4- 5, 74.9) 34- 14 1024 H We. Michigan ( 6- 3, 85.0) 45- 38 1104 A Sacramento State 1111 H Mass. ( 4- 4, 75.5) 1120 H Bowl'g Green ( 2- 7, 75.6) 1127 A Ohio ( 5- 3, 81.5)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
904 A Michigan St 20-30 -10 -5 -- -5.16
919 H Temple 49-48 1 10 --- -8.69
926 H San Diego St 41-16 25 8 +++ 6.56
1003 A Ball State 39-24 15 9 +++ 6.23
1010 H Buffalo 8-23 -15 5 --- -19.56
1017 A Ea. Michigan 34-14 20 5 +++ 9.75
1024 H We. Michigan 45-38 7 2 ++ 5.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 919 H Temple 49-48 1 10 --- -8.69 1010 H Buffalo 8-23 -15 5 --- -19.56 904 A Michigan St 20-30 -10 -5 -- -5.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 926 H San Diego St 41-16 25 8 +++ 6.56 1003 A Ball State 39-24 15 9 +++ 6.23 1017 A Ea. Michigan 34-14 20 5 +++ 9.75 1024 H We. Michigan 45-38 7 2 ++ 5.46 |
Toledo Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| California | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| No. Carolina | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| NC State | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Syracuse | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Virginia | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Va. Tech | Va. Tech | Va. Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | Toledo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Toledo | |
| Ea. Carolina | Toledo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Toledo | |
| Fl. Atlantic | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| No. Texas | No. Texas | No. Texas | ||
| Rice | Toledo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| So. Florida | So. Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | So. Florida | |
| Temple | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Tulane | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Tulsa | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| UAB | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | Iowa State | Iowa State | ||
| Kansas | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We. Virginia | We. Virginia | We. Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Nebraska | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ohio State | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Penn State | |
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | UCLA | |
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Wisconsin | |
| Florida Int | Toledo | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Toledo | |
| J'ville St | J'ville St | J'ville St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Liberty | |
| La. Tech | La. Tech | La. Tech | ||
| Mid. Tenn. | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| N. Mexico St | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Sam Houston | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| UTEP | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We. Kentucky | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Mass. | Toledo | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Toledo | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | Toledo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Toledo | |
| Akron | Toledo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| Ball State | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Bowl'g Green | Toledo | Toledo 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Ce. Michigan | Toledo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| Ea. Michigan | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Kent St | Toledo | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Toledo | |
| Miami (OH) | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| No. Illinois | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Ohio | Toledo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Toledo | |
| We. Michigan | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise St | |
| Colorado St | Toledo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Toledo | |
| Fresno St | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Hawai'i | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| San Jose St | Toledo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Toledo | |
| UNLV | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Oregon St | Oregon St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oregon St | |
| Wash. St | Toledo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| App State | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Arkansas St | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Coastal Car. | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Georgia So. | Georgia So. | Georgia So. | ||
| Georgia St | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| J. Madison | J. Madison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | J. Madison | |
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Old Dominion | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| So. Miss | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| So. Alabama | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Texas St. | Texas St. | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas St. | |
| Troy | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| UL Monroe | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Delaware | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Missouri St | Toledo | Toledo |
PowerWise = 60
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A Michigan St ( 2- 6, 85.0) 20-30 -14.88 18.36 3.20 1.16 -6.80
1 H Temple ( 2- 6, 76.9) 49-48 -23.02 10.22 -3.20 1.16 16.36
1 H San Diego St ( 4- 5, 78.1) 41-16 -21.77 11.47 -3.20 1.16 19.26
1 A Ball State ( 3- 5, 71.4) 39-24 -28.49 4.75 3.20 1.16 18.50
1 H Buffalo ( 5- 3, 82.0) 8-23 -17.89 15.35 -3.20 1.16 -12.27
1 A Ea. Michigan ( 4- 5, 74.9) 34-14 -24.97 8.27 3.20 1.16 26.68
1 H We. Michigan ( 6- 3, 85.0) 45-38 -14.87 18.37 -3.20 1.16 35.32
------
97.05
|
winning pts = 116.1231 losing points = -19.0702
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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